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El Niño Set to Upend the World Economy

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Key summary

2 min read
  1. A new El Niño pattern is forming in the Pacific, bringing intense heat and shifting rainfall.

  2. Agriculture across Asia and Africa may be disrupted, threatening rice harvests and broader food supply.

  3. Lower crop yields and weather shocks could push food prices higher and add to inflation in developing countries.

  4. Rising price pressures may prompt central banks to delay rate cuts or keep policy tighter for longer.

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