How much DAU is this newly launched feature worth?

Delight Room introduced a method to estimate the DAU convergence value for new features in Alami.

It pointed out the limits of a simple carrying capacity formula and proposed a model that combines new user inflow and retention data.

The approach uses a power-law retention curve and scipy curve_fit to build a more realistic capacity estimate.

This helps teams quickly gauge the potential user base and decide which metrics will drive the biggest growth impact.

It also speeds up experiments by relying on faster leading indicators instead of slower monthly metrics.