Stop Asking If AI Will Destroy Jobs. Ask This Instead

Article structure the article presents three distinct positions on AI and jobs positions labeled ‘We’re Screwed’, ‘New Jobs’, and ‘Human Inertia’.

Citrini Research and Alap Shah produced a worst-case scenario thought exercise the piece is written from 2028 looking back on two prior years of economic impact.

Historical example the Industrial Revolution (circa 1780–1840) is cited as a historical example of labor impact, gDP and industrial output rose while real wages remained flat or declined over the period.

General-purpose technologies electrification and computing required decades to reshape labor markets electrification commercial in 1880s but manufacturing labor markets changed by the 1920s, about 40 years.

Author conclusion the author states the key question is whether human, organizational, and policy response speed can match AI adoption speed the article says transition length and severity are determined by choices made during deployment.