Polymarket’s Odds for US Military Clash Rise to 45%, Regime Change at 55% in Cuba - Tekedia

Polymarket traders now price a 45% chance of a U.S. military clash.

A separate Cuba regime-change bet remains around 55%, showing no matching jump in collapse odds.

The split suggests markets see escalation risk rising without assuming government overthrow.

It highlights a more nuanced view of geopolitical instability and state resilience.